Top Ten Pennsylvania Primary Upset Predictions

Posted by By at 23 April, at 07 : 59 AM Print

  • Congressional District 4
    Prediction: Commissioner Chris Reilly (R) tops Rep. Scott Perry (R).
    Deciding factors:
    Money and Scott Wagner.
  • Congressional District 17
    Prediction:
    Attorney Matt Cartwright (D) unseats Rep. Tim Holden (I).
    Deciding factors
    : Environment, health care and nasty ads.
  • Senate District 29
    Prediction
    : Businessman John Rich (R) defeats Senator David Argall (I).
    Deciding factors:
    Pay raise of 2005; Senate Republican Caucus apathy.
  • Senate District 37
    Prediction:
    Businessman D. Raja (R) upends Rep. Mark Mustio (R).
    Deciding factor
    : Racism.
  • House District 50
    Prediction:
    Bill DeWeese (D) will resign his seat in the morning, be sentenced in the afternoon and renominated in the evening.
    Deciding factors:
    Denial; absence of party leadership.
  • House District 79
    Prediction
    : Professor John McGinnis (R) teaches state Rep. Rick Geist (I) a lesson in grass roots politics.
    Deciding factors:
    Pay raise of 2005 + 17 terms in office = pink slip.
  • House District 92
    Five Republicans are vying for this open seat including Anthony Pugliese (son of prominent lobbyist Rocco Pugliese) and William Sieg (nephew of Senate Appropriations Committee Chairman Jake Corman )
    Prediction:
    Mike Regan wins the race and puts the kids in time out.
    Deciding factors
    : Experience and community roots; plus Regan looks like Scott Brown’s stunt double.
  • House District 93
    Prediction:
    Trucker Ernie Merisotis (R) ousts Ron Miller (I).
    Deciding factor
    : Scott Wagner.
  • House District 103
    Prediction:
    Bill Cluck will get 300 Republican write-in signatures.
    Deciding factors:
    Crowded democratic primary; name recognition.
  • House District 104
    Prediction:
    Sue Helm (I) holds off “endorsed” candidate Jenna Lewis.
    Deciding factors:
    “Upper End” and Ron Marsico’s kiss of death.

D = Democrat
I = Incumbent
R = Republican

Photo from pahousegop.com

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- who has written 352 posts for Rock The Capital
Eric J. Epstein is RocktheCapital‘s coordinator and a community advocate for good government for over 25 years. Mr. Epstein is also Chairman of the Three Mile Island Alert, Inc., a safe-energy organization founded in 1977; President of EFMR Monitoring Group, Inc., a non-profit economic development corporation established in 1977, and Chairman of the Stray Winds Area Neighbors (SWAN), a smart growth association organized in 2005. Mr. Epstein was a Visiting Assistant Professor of Humanities at PSU-Harrisburg (1992-1999) and co-authored the Dictionary of the Holocaust, which was released by Greenwood Press (1997) - Email Eric Epstein

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