- Congressional District 4
Prediction: Commissioner Chris Reilly (R) tops Rep. Scott Perry (R).
Deciding factors: Money and Scott Wagner.
- Congressional District 17
Prediction: Attorney Matt Cartwright (D) unseats Rep. Tim Holden (I).
Deciding factors: Environment, health care and nasty ads.
- Senate District 29
Prediction: Businessman John Rich (R) defeats Senator David Argall (I).
Deciding factors: Pay raise of 2005; Senate Republican Caucus apathy.
- Senate District 37
Prediction: Businessman D. Raja (R) upends Rep. Mark Mustio (R).
Deciding factor: Racism.
- House District 50
Prediction: Bill DeWeese (D) will resign his seat in the morning, be sentenced in the afternoon and renominated in the evening.
Deciding factors: Denial; absence of party leadership.
- House District 79
Prediction: Professor John McGinnis (R) teaches state Rep. Rick Geist (I) a lesson in grass roots politics.
Deciding factors: Pay raise of 2005 + 17 terms in office = pink slip.
- House District 92
Five Republicans are vying for this open seat including Anthony Pugliese (son of prominent lobbyist Rocco Pugliese) and William Sieg (nephew of Senate Appropriations Committee Chairman Jake Corman )
Prediction: Mike Regan wins the race and puts the kids in time out.
Deciding factors: Experience and community roots; plus Regan looks like Scott Brown’s stunt double.
- House District 93
Prediction: Trucker Ernie Merisotis (R) ousts Ron Miller (I).
Deciding factor: Scott Wagner.
- House District 103
Prediction: Bill Cluck will get 300 Republican write-in signatures.
Deciding factors: Crowded democratic primary; name recognition.
- House District 104
Prediction: Sue Helm (I) holds off “endorsed” candidate Jenna Lewis.
Deciding factors: “Upper End” and Ron Marsico’s kiss of death.
D = Democrat
I = Incumbent
R = Republican
Photo from pahousegop.com
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