Independent voters tipping toward Republicans

Posted by By at 1 November, at 11 : 47 AM Print

The I’s are adding up for Republicans in several key races, in Pennsylvania.

Pat Toomey/Joe Sestak

The latest Quinnipiac University poll shows Republican Pat Toomey leading 50 to 45 percent over Democratic challenger Joe Sestak for a U.S. senate seat.

The latest numbers show Republican Tom Corbett now with a ten point lead over Democratic challenger Dan Onorato.

A similar poll conducted a couple of weeks ago, showed Onorato cutting Corbett’s lead to a single digit, but now the tide is reversing course.

The Republicans are faring well, no make that dominating independent voters.

“The candidates each hold their party bases pretty well, each getting more than 80 percent of the votes of their own party members,” Peter Brown (assistant director of Quinnipiac University Polling Institute) said, “but it is independent voters, as is often the case in close elections, that swings the balance of power.”

The survey conducted over the weekend boiled out the folks still sitting on the fence and those that are swaying in the wind.

6 percent of the likely voters are undecided, and 14 percent say they might change their mind. More of Onorato’s early backers, 17 percent say they may end up favoring Corbett, while only 11 percent of initial Corbett supporters may choose Onorato.

“It is difficult to see how Dan Onorato become Pennsylvania’s next governor,” said Brown.

Dan Onorato / Tom Corbett

“The Senate race has been neck-and-neck most of the way with Toomey slightly ahead. It looks like that is how the candidates will cross the finish line,” said Brown.

The results are based on 1,244 likely voters with a margin of plus, minus error of 2.8 percentage points.


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